Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.000171 0.000185 0.000199 0.000216 0.000234 0.000254 0.000277
2024-10-20 0.000147 0.000166 0.000188 0.000214 0.000245 0.000281 0.000327
2024-10-27 0.000137 0.000159 0.000186 0.000219 0.000261 0.000312 0.000380
2024-11-03 0.000124 0.000148 0.000176 0.000213 0.000262 0.000323 0.000410
2024-11-10 0.000115 0.000140 0.000170 0.000210 0.000265 0.000337 0.000442
2024-11-17 0.000107 0.000132 0.000163 0.000206 0.000266 0.000347 0.000471
2024-11-24 0.000102 0.000128 0.000160 0.000206 0.000272 0.000364 0.000510
2024-12-01 0.000097 0.000123 0.000157 0.000206 0.000277 0.000380 0.000549
2024-12-08 0.000094 0.000121 0.000156 0.000208 0.000285 0.000402 0.000599
2024-12-15 0.000090 0.000116 0.000151 0.000205 0.000286 0.000411 0.000631
2024-12-22 0.000086 0.000113 0.000149 0.000205 0.000291 0.000428 0.000676
2024-12-29 0.000084 0.000111 0.000148 0.000206 0.000298 0.000448 0.000730
2025-01-05 0.000082 0.000109 0.000148 0.000209 0.000309 0.000476 0.000804
2025-01-12 0.000078 0.000105 0.000144 0.000207 0.000311 0.000489 0.000851
2025-01-19 0.000077 0.000105 0.000145 0.000212 0.000325 0.000526 0.000953
2025-01-26 0.000073 0.000100 0.000140 0.000206 0.000321 0.000529 0.000984
2025-02-02 0.000070 0.000097 0.000137 0.000204 0.000321 0.000539 0.001033
2025-02-09 0.000067 0.000093 0.000133 0.000200 0.000320 0.000546 0.001073
2025-02-16 0.000065 0.000091 0.000131 0.000200 0.000325 0.000566 0.001150
2025-02-23 0.000063 0.000089 0.000129 0.000199 0.000328 0.000584 0.001225
2025-03-02 0.000062 0.000088 0.000129 0.000201 0.000337 0.000614 0.001336
2025-03-09 0.000060 0.000086 0.000126 0.000198 0.000337 0.000623 0.001394
2025-03-16 0.000058 0.000084 0.000125 0.000198 0.000341 0.000645 0.001490